{"id":96,"date":"2004-03-30T08:05:16","date_gmt":"2004-03-30T13:05:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/wp\/?p=96"},"modified":"2004-03-30T08:05:16","modified_gmt":"2004-03-30T13:05:16","slug":"prediction-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/?p=96","title":{"rendered":"Prediction"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The Bush smear machine <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2004\/ALLPOLITICS\/03\/29\/bush.kerry\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\">is working<\/a>, and John Kerry, if he is nominated by the Dems, will NOT win the presidential election this fall.<\/p><p><!--more--><br \/>\nUnless the Democrats come up with a different candidate this July &#8211; and at this point, that seems unlikely &#8211; we are in for another epoch of misery surpassing even the Nixon years.<br \/>\nI must admit that I am not a big fan of John Kerry&#8217;s.  He&#8217;s not been a particularly effective Senator, and he isn&#8217;t &#8220;likeable&#8221;, which seems to be the main, if not the only, criterion for election to national office.<br \/>\nOutside Massachusetts and California, being pegged a &#8220;Liberal&#8221; is the political kiss of death, and John Kerry has by all accounts one of the most liberal voting records in Congress.<br \/>\nEqually importantly, John Kerry has not shown any leadership in recent years on any important issue facing the Congress, whether it&#8217;s campaign finance reform, free trade agreements, the war in Iraq, funding for education, or Social Security\/Medicare financing.<br \/>\nIn spite of his much-discussed pedigree and his exemplary personal life, Kerry is pretty non-descript, known primarily for his association with Ted Kennedy and in those terms, considered more a working member of the Massachusetts Congressional delegation than one of its deans.<br \/>\nSimilarly, his leadership team is also made up of non-entities, and it&#8217;s difficult to know what a Kerry presidency would look like, aside from the early promise to promote a few changes in the tax code for businesses.  There is no sense of excitement or promise as there was in the Clinton candidacy, and no compelling rags-to-riches personal story to give voters a sense of the person and how his values evolved.<br \/>\nIt seems, once again, that the political process leaves us with the choice of a mediocrity and a rogue, and there&#8217;s no question in my mind that the rogue always wins in that scenario.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>The Bush smear machine is working, and John Kerry, if he is nominated by the Dems, will NOT win the presidential election this fall.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-96","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=96"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/96\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=96"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=96"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/thecapeblog.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=96"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}